A backdoor NFC revision?
• Budget delay exposes Centre-province fiscal deadlock • NFC shares may be frozen under budget pressure • Critics say Centre ignores revenues kept outside divisible pool • Experts blame fiscal crisis on low tax collection, debt, federal spending • Raza Rabbani warns of phased rollback of 18th Amendment, NFC Award WHEN Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb rises to present his third budget, the usual questions will apply. Which sectors face fresh taxation? Will the salaried class get any relief? How much will the cost of living increase? Who will get tax benefits, and who will not? But this year, there is an additional dimension worth watching closely. Will the budget clip provincial finances? Will the Centre freeze provincial shares under the current National Finance Commission (NFC) arrangement and push fresh expenditure obligations onto provinces — over and above their existing requirement to produce a primary surplus? If it does, it would amount to a unilateral revision of the NFC ...